Bitcoin Prediction Review - Day 27

Let's take another look back at "The Next 365 Days of Bitcoin" to see how we're doing.

Prediction: Day 11: A member of the Bitcointalk Forums reports that his Bitcoins have been stolen from Mt.Gox. No one cares.

Result: Mt.Gox stole their own Bitcoins, but that was on Day 24.

Status: Wrong.

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Prediction: Day 17: A Bitcoin is still worth $5. Conspiracy theories begin to propagate through the Bitcointalk Forums. The CIA is the primary suspect.

Result: Bitcoin did not hold $5. In fact, it dropped down to $2.05.

Status: Wrong.

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Prediction: Day 18: Bitcoin hits $5.50. The CIA is the primary suspect.

Result: See above.

Status: Very wrong.

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Prediction: Day 25: All-time Bitcoin client downloads hit 1,000,000.

Result: There were 978,131 downloads as of October 29th.

Status: Wrong.

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Prediction: Day 27 [Halloween]: At least three people in the United States go out to Halloween parties dressed as Satoshi Nakamoto. Satoshi Nakamoto dresses up as Lady Gaga.

Result:

Status: Mostly wrong (in more ways than one).

Posted in: Predictions